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DEBATE: THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
Posted by: dhc
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Want to know whether the pre-budget report is good or bad? Here's our quick and easy guide which details each measure and its advantages and disadvantages.
Executive Summary
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All the Yes points
All the No points
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
VAT cut to 15% from December 1st
The basic rate of VAT will be cut from 17.5% to 15% from December 1st. The cut will remain in place for 13 months, through to January 2010. This will cost the exchequer £12.5bn, some of which will be recouped from a rise in the duty on alcohol, tobacco and petrol.This measure will do more to stimulate the economy than anything else because it rewards people who spend. The more they spend, the more they save. The fact the cut is being implemented as soon as possible means people wont wait before going shopping. At the fact it’s only a temporary cut means it will give us the short-term boost we need whilst allowing us to balance our books later.
The cut is tiny and wont make much difference to most people, poor people especially. That’s if the shops even pass it on, many will just pocket the difference. It wont even help us in the areas we really need help in. There’s no VAT on mortgages, loans, council tax, water rates, food or children’s clothes. This cut will only benefit the very rich, those who can afford to buy a new car or expensive items where 2.5% off makes quite a bit of difference. And it will cost shops to implement, all of whom have now got to change all their prices. By Monday.
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
A new top rate of income tax, 45%, from April 2011
The new top rate of tax will affect only people earning more than £150k a year, ie one per cent of people in the UK, and should raise around £1.2bn extra a year. People earning this amount will have a hard time complaining about paying a little extra tax during these very hard times. We’ve all got to do our bit to get the economy going, this is what they can do. And when the economy starts booming again they’ll be the first to benefit.
People earning that much have worked very hard to get where they are and deserve to reap the rewards now. They probably work long hours and will undoubtedly have made all kinds of sacrifices along the way. Someone earning this much already contributes a huge amount to the economy, 40% of £150k is £60k a year, so hitting them again is just hitting the easy target. In addition, this acts as a disincentive to entrepreneurs. Most people wont ever earn this much money in their lives but the idea they could is what drives them – and our economy – forward. If that dream seems even a bit less realistic they’ll work less hard and we’ll all suffer.
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
Basic tax rate benefit increased by £25 to £145 from April and made permanent thereafter
This tax change will benefit 22 million basic rate taxpayers, many of whom will be at the poorer end of the economic scale. This tax rate was supposed to be temporary only (a bribe to the electorate many thought), the government has now made it permanent. This is exactly the sort of change the economy needs and counters those who claim Labour only raise taxes.
This is but one small step in the right direction, and goes against the many tax raises Labour did make – most of them by stealth. This tax cut is welcomed but really how much difference will it make? Studies show that poorer people save the money they get in tax cuts, where rich people spend them. Since the consensus is we need to spend our way out of these problems this tax cut wont help.
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
All rates of NI increase by 0.5%
The employer and employee rate of national insurance will increase by half of one percent. This necessary change will help offset the tax breaks in other measures and ensure our national debt doesn’t rise beyond manageable levels.
These changes negate any benefits from the stimulus package. The chancellor has given with one hand and takes with the other. People will not feel better off and this means they wont start spending again – which is supposedly what we need them to do. Besides, the VAT cut will only last for 13 months, what’s the betting this NI rise will not come down at the same time?
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
Help for homeowners
Mortgage lenders will have to wait at least three months after a borrower falls behind with their payments before seeking repossession. The government will provide guarantees for mortgage-backed securities, subject to EU approval. Anyone with a mortgage of £200,000 or less will be able to apply for help with their payments if they lose their jobs and more than £1bn will be made available to increase funding for social housingThese measures help homeowners who get into trouble and it gives them some crucial breathing space before their home gets repossessed. No one benefits when repossessions take hold, the general home market goes down, all house prices are depressed and people are homeless. The government has been criticised for not doing enough to put pressure on mortgage lenders and help homeowners. This proposal answers that criticism.
Three months isn’t long. In a depressed economic climate it can take people a lot longer than that to get a new job. This proposal helps but, like all the others, doesn’t go far enough. More should have been done to protect home owners and keep them in their home until the economy recovers. Doing that would mean everyone benefits.
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
New state supported savings scheme aimed at low income people
Starting in 2010 the government will contribute 50p for every £1 saved. This measure will encourage 8 million people on low incomes to save more for their future, will give them an essential sense of autonomy and will, ultimately , be good for the country as a whole.
It will be good for the country because means tested state benefits mean savings can be clawed back from anyone who needs help with pensions or care homes or any of the other things older people need. This is a clever government scheme that sounds like it’s beneficial but is really self-serving. And no-one has yet explained how someone struggling to feed and clothe their family will be able to save anything. Will their kids have to do without one meal per week, will they have to walk to school with holes in their shoes?
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
Multiple benefits for pensioners
There will be a one-off payment in January of £60 for single pensioners and £120 for couples. Pension credit will rise in April from £124 to £130 per week for individuals and £189 to £198 for couples. The state pension will rise in line with the highest rate of inflation this year, equating to £4.55 a week for a single person. And increases to pensions and child benefits will start three months early in January.This range of measures will help one of the most vulnerable groups in society. The lump sum will be a welcome boost at the toughest time of the year. The increase in state pension in line with inflation will ensure pensioners have a comparable cost of living this year to last. And the pension credit will give them another little bit extra in the kitty.
In reality these are still pretty meagre increases. The extra cost in fuel and council tax rises will wipe out most of the benefits and a lump sum of £60 per pensioner wont go very far. These are people who’ve given a life of service to the country, many of them went to war for us. They’ve contributed all their lives to national insurance and employers pension schemes, much of which has been wiped away with the recent downturn in the markets. Pensioners need much more help than we’re giving them here.
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
Multiple benefits for small companies
Credit worth £1bn to small firms will be offered by the government via a temporary Small Business Finance Scheme. The planned increase in the small companies rate of corporation tax has been deferred, so the 2009 tax rate will be unchanged. UK banks will get £1bn of funds so they can lend to firms more easily. The export credit guarantee scheme will have another £1bn made available to support businesses. HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) will allow firms facing difficulties to spread the payment of all their business taxes over a timetable they can afford, for as long as they need. This includes the self-employed. Small businesses are the lifeblood of our economy and these measures will allow more of them to ride out the difficult times and stay in business. The government understands the plight of small business owners and has gone a long way to ensuring they continue to provide the jobs and tax revenue the country depends on so much.
Just as with the increases for pensioners (and the VAT cut) these changes are minor and wont do anything to help the many small businesses who are in desperate straits as a result of the government’s bungling of the economy. This government has done more to harm small business than any in recent memory and the amount of red tape introduced and ridiculous PC measures firms now have to abide by are the reason why so many are struggling. In addition, the rise in National Insurance will wipe out most of these benefits as the people struggling most are those with most employees – ie the ones hit hardest by a rise in NI.
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
More regulation of the energy industry
Energy companies have been accused of collusion in order to keep their prices artificially high. To counter this the energy regulator Ofgem will monitor changes in energy price and publish quarterly reports on the link between wholesale and retail prices. The UK benefits from comparatively cheap energy prices thanks to a competitive marketplace. This change will ensure the marketplace becomes even more competitive and even better for the consumer.
The UK might have been competitive at one point but most of our energy companies are now owned by our European cousins and because of government regulation in their countries most of the recent price increases have been unfairly born by people here. Ofgem might help change this but only if it is given powers to properly prosecute transgressors. Another toothless watchdog we don’t need.
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
Review of the financial compensation arrangements that currently exclude UK residents who save money in banks based in the Channel Islands and the Isle of Man.
The closing of this loophole will mean more money in the exchequer and will ensure a fairer tax regime for all. People resident in the UK have a duty to pay tax on the money they earn here. They benefit from the provisions the government makes, they should contribute to their upkeep too.
People rich enough to find one loophole are bound to find another. No government has ever been able to close them all. This is a cosmetic change which will have no real effect other than to harm two territories that are, in fact British. Money will instead flow to the Cayman Islands and other offshore havens. Whilst people in the Channel Islands and the Isle of Man who used to service British savers will lose their jobs.
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
Help for drivers
The change in vehicle excise duty bands will still happen, but more gradually. The maximum increase next year will be £5 and from 2010 the maximum increase will be £30 – it was going to be £90.
But fuel duty is rising. Once again it’s a give/take strategy with each cancelling the other out and no good being done overall. The VED changes were designed to counter global warming. Since that is one of the few things unaffected by the global financial crisis this change will actually do more harm because it will encourage more people to drive. The government is massively confused about what it’s doing and what message it wants to send.
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
Help for families
The increase in the children's tax credit will be brought forward, as will the child benefit increase. Both will start in January, not April.
So, families get £1.20 a week extra three months earlier than they might have. That's really going to get the economy going again isn’t it?
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
Help for the environment
£150m extra will be made available to fund energy-saving measures, this will both save money for individuals and help save the environment. If energy companies fail to pass on savings when oil prices fall the government will consider legislation to force them to do so. Air passenger duty to be reformed so that longer journeys are charged more
The proposal to force energy companies to pass on savings is an empty gesture. Such legislation would be impossible to draft, would be swerved if any did make it to law and would probably be anti-competitive anyway. Besides, if VED rates are decreased more people will drive thus negating any benefits of the other changes.
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
Help for the unemployed
A new national employment partnership will be formed to help the unemployed find work and the Prime Minister will be its chairperson. Such high level support will ensure the best minds come together to help solve the problems of long-term unemployment and to help any newly employed people get back to work quickly. In total, the package of measures for the unemployed is worth £1.3bn.
Is this £1.3bn of new money or was this money already allocated that the government has repackaged as a new measure? And whilst it is wonderful the Prime Minister is taking such interest in the unemployed one wonders what will really happen - there are sketchy details of the plans as yet. Perhaps the best thing he could do for the country would be to add himself to the list of the out-of work.
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
Investment in infrastructure
It’s much better to pay people to work than to be unemployed and so £3bn worth of spending on important infrastructure projects will be brought forward from 2010-11. The double advantage being the country gets to benefit from better schools, hospitals and roads that much sooner.
Not that much sooner. All we’ll be doing is taking on more debt, debt we can’t afford. If you’re going to spend your way out of the recession and make a real difference £3bn wont cut it. This is another half-measure.
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT - PROS AND CONS OF ALL THE PROPOSALS AT A GLANCE
Efficiency savings to total £35bn by 2010-11
Some of the money spent on this package and on the other bailout measures will be recouped by government efficiency savings totalling £35bn. The government has eliminated huge amounts of waste and this will continue for the next few years. The benefits of which will be seen for decades to come.
Where are these savings going to come from? Job cuts mostly, and then civil servants will be on the dole taking money out of the economy. This change runs counter to the Keynesian economics of improved infrastructure and – like just about every other measure in this report – will negate any benefits of the other approach. The government should just make up its mind – does it want more people unemployed or less, if less then savings here will not be realised.
What do you think? Vote on this point below.
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