Modified:
03 Feb 2010
by Booji
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DEBATE: SHOULD THE BBC DROP THE MET OFFICE?
Posted by: LLBlynch
Karma:
2653
The BBC is considering putting its weather forecasting out to tender. There are now numerous independent forecasting companies who may be able to do things cheaper and the met office has been criticised recently for its forecasting record. However this has mostly been the long term or seasonal forecasts that have been out, such as predictions of a barbeque summer that was not or our current mild winter. This is not something that really matters to the BBC who are mostly broadcasting day to day forecasts that the met office has been getting better and better at. And when talking about predicting the future anyone can get it wrong, other companies are just not subject to the scrutiny the met office is under.
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SHOULD THE BBC DROP THE MET OFFICE?
Smaller firms would cost less
When the national broadcaster and the national weather forecaster first married in 1922, there were no alternatives. Technology was limited, patented and expensive. This meant that only a national institution could afford to provide weather telling services based on compelling scientific evidence. Now, however, the technology is more readily available and it is cheaper to accumulate the data. This had meant a surge in smaller weather forecasters. Being that these smaller companies would relish the opportunity to sign a contract with the BBC, they would be willing to do the service for a lot less money than the Met Office. Given that we are going through a recession, the BBC needs to cut back on spending and this is one way of doing it.
The recession has little or nothing to do with the BBC! They have not reduced their licence fee which is where they gain most of their revenue. Other broadcasters which rely purely on commercial endorsements and advertisement have been adversely affected, but the BBC cannot say that they have suffered such a down turn. In fact, given the interest of everyone in the recession, the BBC would have seen an increase in news readers on their site and an increase in viewing figures for their news. Given that licence fee payers are still paying the same amount, why should they suffer from a cheaper service via a smaller firm? The only reason the BBC would need more money is to increase their already over paid staff.
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SHOULD THE BBC DROP THE MET OFFICE?
Would be better for our economy
Knowing that the most lucrative weather forecasting contract is on the cards, many smaller forecasters will appear in the market. What was once a niche market will then become a competitive market. This will mean that the BBC, who use licence fee payers money to fund all their operations, will be able to select from a broader range of forecasters. This will mean they can lower the price of their contract. It also means that they have more power and sanctions should the forecasters be wrong. This would make the licence fee payers money more effective.It will also help the economy by creating more jobs in weather forecasting. More new businesses will be formed with new innovative ideas and more people will be entered into the job market; from the highly esteemed role of weather forecaster to the menial roles of health and safety.
SHOULD THE BBC DROP THE MET OFFICE?
Met Offices accuracy has come under question
We were told of a roasting summer, unlike any other we have seen before. What we got did not live up to the expectations that the Met led us all to have. We got told of a mild winter. What we got was utter dismay! These mistakes led to thousands being disenchanted with BBC weather reports. No one trusts the weather on BBC, as people know it comes from the Met. This will lose the BBC thousands of viewers in the news slots as people would opt to hear the weather from ITV or another broadcaster. Even if they also make mistakes in their predictions, they are not highlighted as much as with the Met Office. In order to keep people watching BBC news, the BBC should drop the Met Office as its weather forecaster.
The accuracy concerns of the Met Office are based on large seasonal predictions. The more in advance you predict something, obviously the less accurate such a prediction is. People should not place so much reliance on seasonal predictions.Looking at it from a different angle, the barbeque summer that was predicted was merely a headline winner for the BBC. The Met Office did state that there would be a 35% chance of rain, and this was accurate. What people, therefore, are disenchanted by are the headlines. But the Met Office is not there to produce the headlines but the predictions, and this they did.
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SHOULD THE BBC DROP THE MET OFFICE?
The Met Office are the most experienced for the role
With many smaller firms only being around for 20 years as listed above, the Met Office has experience over them. It is one of the longest established weather forecasters in the world. Its conception was in 1854. Back then the data used to be collected by ships on sea. They then upgraded to aviation techniques to collect their meteorological data. With such a wealth of experience in collecting, analysing and forecasting the data, how could the BBC even contemplate taking on a less well endowed weather forecasting company?
SHOULD THE BBC DROP THE MET OFFICE?
We do not want commercially biased weather forecasts
Whilst we may criticise the Met for its lack of accuracy in seasonal forecasts, surely these innocent mistakes are not as damaging as the deliberate misleading of the public to suit commercial purposes. For example, Metra, the most likely candidate to replace the Met Office for the BBC, also provides weather forecasts for Tesco, Sainsbury's, Marks & Spencer and Waitrose. Therefore, this firm has a bias towards supermarkets. What we could see happen is weather forecasts being published by the BBC which promote or encourage the purchase of certain items depending on the supermarkets preference. Agreements could be made between these commercial firms to stock up for umbrellas with Metra then releasing reports on the high probability of rain. This chance of commercial interference with information is the same reason why the BBC is independent of advertisements. A national enterprise should not be seen to promote any one company or influence the public’s view s or spending habits. This independence of BBC is threatened if it contracts with a firm other than the Met Office.If this event occured, and there were commercial forecasts, I can only forsee misguided forecasts followed by adverts for that forecast. For example, a prediction of snow, followed by an advert for boots/jackets/scarves/gloves etc.
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LLBlynch
|14:55, 21 January 10
|Karma Score: 2653
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LLBlynch
|13:33, 22 January 10
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LLBlynch
|14:55, 21 January 10
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LLBlynch
|14:56, 21 January 10
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LLBlynch
|14:59, 21 January 10
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LLBlynch
|15:12, 21 January 10
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LLBlynch
|15:35, 21 January 10
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